UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Fresno St 1
  
Fresno St             
W-L: ( 6- 3) PR = 67.9567

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 823 A Kansas B12 ( 5- 4, 74.7) 7-31 830 H Georgia So SUN ( 3- 5, 61.4) 42-14 906 A Oregon St P12 ( 2- 7, 60.2) 36-27 913 H Southern 56- 7 920 A Hawaii MIDW ( 6- 3, 69.4) 23-21 1004 H Nevada MIDW ( 2- 6, 65.2) 20-17 1010 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2- 6, 64.5) 21-49 1025 H San Diego St MIDW ( 6- 2, 72.9) 0-23 1101 A Boise State MIDW ( 6- 3, 75.5) 30- 7 1115 H Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 4, 69.9) 1122 H Utah St MIDW ( 4- 4, 67.4) 1129 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 5, 69.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   823 A Kansas                  7-31     -24   -11    ---   -9.35
   830 H Georgia So             42-14      28    10    +++    9.54
   906 A Oregon St              36-27       9     4    ++     5.17
   920 A Hawaii                 23-21       2    -5    +++    7.39
  1004 H Nevada                 20-17       3     7    -     -3.68
  1010 A Colorado St            21-49     -28    -1    ---  -19.48
  1025 H San Diego St            0-23     -23    -1    ---  -19.03
  1101 A Boise State            30- 7      23   -11    +++   31.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   823 A Kansas                  7-31     -24   -11    ---   -9.35
  1010 A Colorado St            21-49     -28    -1    ---  -19.48
  1025 H San Diego St            0-23     -23    -1    ---  -19.03
  1004 H Nevada                 20-17       3     7    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 H Georgia So             42-14      28    10    +++    9.54
   920 A Hawaii                 23-21       2    -5    +++    7.39
  1101 A Boise State            30- 7      23   -11    +++   31.44
   906 A Oregon St              36-27       9     4    ++     5.17

Fresno St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Fresno St   Fresno St
California Fresno St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fresno St
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stanford
Syracuse Fresno St   Fresno St
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Fresno St   Fresno St
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wake Forest
Army Army   Army
Charlotte Fresno St   Fresno St
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Fresno St   Fresno St
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy   Navy
No Texas No Texas   No Texas
Rice Fresno St   Fresno St
So Florida So Florida tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Florida
Temple Fresno St   Fresno St
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa Fresno St   Fresno St
UAB Fresno St   Fresno St
UTSA UTSA insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UTSA
Arizona Arizona tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas Kansas  
Kansas St Kansas St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kansas St
Oklahoma St Fresno St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fresno St
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Texas Tech
UCF Fresno St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fresno St
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Fresno St   Fresno St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oregon
Penn St Penn St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn St
Purdue Purdue   Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA   UCLA
USC USC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) USC
Washington Washington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin   Wisconsin
Florida Intl Fresno St   Fresno St
Jacksonv. St Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fresno St
Kennesaw St Kennesaw St   Kennesaw St
Liberty Fresno St   Fresno St
La Tech La Tech   La Tech
Middle Tenn Fresno St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fresno St
NM St Fresno St   Fresno St
SHouston St Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fresno St
UTEP Fresno St   Fresno St
We Kentucky Fresno St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fresno St
UMass Fresno St   Fresno St
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn UConn   UConn
Akron Fresno St   Fresno St
Ball St Fresno St   Fresno St
Bowl. Green Fresno St   Fresno St
Buffalo Fresno St   Fresno St
Cen Michigan Cen Michigan   Cen Michigan
Ea Michigan Fresno St   Fresno St
Kent State Fresno St   Fresno St
MiamiOH Fresno St   Fresno St
No Illinois Fresno St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fresno St
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Toledo   Toledo
We Michigan Fresno St   Fresno St
Air Force Fresno St Fresno St   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boise State Fresno St Fresno St  
Colorado St Colorado St Colorado St  
Hawaii Fresno St Fresno St  
Nevada Fresno St Fresno St  
New Mexico New Mexico insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Mexico
San Diego St San Diego St San Diego St  
San Jose St San Jose St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) San Jose St
UNLV Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fresno St
Utah St Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fresno St
Wyoming Wyoming insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wyoming
Oregon St Fresno St Fresno St  
Wash St Wash St insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Wash St
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Missouri
Miss St Miss St   Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St Fresno St insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fresno St
Arkansas State Fresno St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fresno St
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Fresno St Fresno St  
Georgia St Fresno St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fresno St
J Madison J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Louisiana Fresno St   Fresno St
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Miss tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) So Miss
So Alabama Fresno St   Fresno St
Texas State Fresno St   Fresno St
Troy Troy   Troy
La-Monroe Fresno St   Fresno St

PowerWise = 46


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Kansas          ( 5- 4, 74.7)     7-31      -25.22      28.77       3.93         1.06           -11.26
   0 H Georgia So      ( 3- 5, 61.4)    42-14      -38.47      15.52      -3.93         1.06            24.51
   0 A Oregon St       ( 2- 7, 60.2)    36-27      -39.70      14.29       3.93         1.06            38.54
   0 A Hawaii          ( 6- 3, 69.4)    23-21      -30.48      23.51       3.93         1.06            58.05
   0 H Nevada          ( 2- 6, 65.2)    20-17      -34.69      19.30      -3.93         1.06            32.52
   0 A Colorado St     ( 2- 6, 64.5)    21-49      -35.36      18.63       3.93         1.06           -16.62
   0 H San Diego St    ( 6- 2, 72.9)     0-23      -27.05      26.94      -3.93         1.06           -16.38
   0 A Boise State     ( 6- 3, 75.5)    30- 7      -24.43      29.56       3.93         1.06            70.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       180.20

winning pts = 224.4709 losing points = -44.2687

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------